# Economics Grade 10 P1 Gauteng November 2022 Memo (English)

> Grade 10 Economics Paper 1 memorandum from the Gauteng November 2022 (English), 20 pages. Read online or download the free PDF.

- Page: https://www.hlayiso.com/library/gr-10-economics-p1-english-november-2022-possible-answers/f7f7a7ce-3180-4658-8615-100178585545
- Updated: 2026-09-27
- Subject: Economics
- Grade: Grade 10
- Language: English
- Document type: Memorandum
- Year: 2022
- Exam period: Gauteng November
- Paper: 1
- Curriculum: CAPS
- Pages: 20

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## About this document

Economics · Grade 10 · Gauteng November · 2022 · English. Memorandum, 20 pages. Read online or download the PDF.

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           PROVINCIAL EXAMINATION
               NOVEMBER 2022
                   GRADE 10
            MARKING GUIDELINES

                 ECONOMICS (PAPER 1)

19 pages

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                     GRADE 10

SECTION A (COMPULSORY)

QUESTION 1

1.1   MULTIPLE-CHOICE QUESTIONS

      1.1.1   C   Profits 

      1.1.2   C   scarcity of resources. 

      1.1.3   D   leakages < injections. 

      1.1.4   A   leading 

      1.1.5   D   self-sufficiency. 

      1.1.6   A   guilds. 

      1.1.7   B   skilled 

      1.1.8   C   the youth. 
                                                                                    (8 x 2)   (16)

1.2   MATCHING ITEMS

      1.2.1   F   The study of how to choose and use scarce resources 

      1.2.2   D   The process by which the entrepreneur combines labour and capital
                  into a product 

      1.2.3   A   The total value of final goods and services produced within the
                  geographical boundaries of a country 

      1.2.4   B   The repeating and fluctuating levels of economic activity 

      1.2.5   G People travel from place to place rather than living in one place 

      1.2.6   H   A broad range of business customs and practices 

      1.2.7   E   Provides an indication to the lack of job opportunities 

      1.2.8   C   Workers on a temporary leave of absence                          (8 x 1)    (8)

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                                                         ECONOMICS
                                      MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)     GRADE 10

1.3   GIVE THE CONCEPT

      1.3.1   Development Economics 

      1.3.2   Equity 

      1.3.3   Circular flow model 

      1.3.4   Company 

      1.3.5   Globalization/International trade ✓

      1.3.6   Immigrant/Refugees                                    (6 x 1)   (6)

                                                           TOTAL SECTION A:    30

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                                                       ECONOMICS
                                    MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                    GRADE 10

SECTION B

Answer TWO of the three questions from this section in the ANSWER BOOK.

QUESTION 2: MACROECONOMICS                                    40 MARKS – 30 MINUTES

2.1   Answer the following questions.

      2.1.1   Name TWO elements of Economics.

              •   Production ✓, Distribution ✓, or Consumption 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                      (2 x 1)   (2)

      2.1.2   Why do economists use economic models?

              Economic models are used to understand how the economy works and to
              make forecasts.
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                (1 x 2)         (2)

2.2   DATA RESPONSE

      2.2.1   Name ONE factor to consider when choosing a career.

              •   Financial implications 
              •   Risks 
              •   Interests and skills 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                      (1 x 1)   (1)

      2.2.2   Identify a career related to Economics.

              • Commercial lawyer 
              • Statistician 
              • Business analyst 
              • Investor 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                (1)

      2.2.3   Briefly describe the term microeconomics.

              Microeconomics is the study of the behaviour and decisions of individuals
              who participate in the economy to allocate limited resources. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                (2)

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                                                         ECONOMICS
                                      MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                        GRADE 10

      2.2.4   How does Economics relate to Computer Science?

              •   Computers are used in the field of Economics. Economists must keep
                  up with the latest trends and information. ✓✓
              • The use of information technology helps economists to understand
                  how the economy functions.
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                       (2)

      2.2.5   How can an economist use scientific methods to uncover regular
              economic patterns?

              •   Economics is a science that uses scientific methods to uncover
                  patterns. 
              • Economists use these patterns to explain what happened in the
                  economy in the past, and to predict what will happen in the future. 
              • For example, economists will study the price of bread over the past
                  ten years and predict future price increases. ✓
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                       (4)

2.3   DATA RESPONSE

      2.3.1   Identify an economic concept from the information above.

              • The basic economic problem of scarcity 
              • Unlimited human wants 
              • Unlimited resources and time 
              • Unlimited wants 
              • Unlimited factors of production 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                             (1 x 1)   (1)

      2.3.2   Give ONE example of capital goods.

              • Buildings 
              • Machinery 
              • Vehicles 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                       (1)

      2.3.3   Briefly describe the term opportunity cost.

              It is the cost of the next best alternative of a product or service. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                       (2)

      2.3.4   Why are resources scarce?

              Resources are scarce because there are unlimited needs and wants and
              limited resources. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                       (2)

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                                                          ECONOMICS
                                       MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                       GRADE 10

      2.3.5   How should producers allocate their resources to ensure the
              maximum amount of consumer needs and wants are satisfied?

              •   Producers must ensure that they produce the maximum amount of
                  goods and services (production efficiency), by using efficient
                  production techniques. 
              • Firms should also produce an optimal distribution of goods and
                  services, taking into account consumers' preferences (allocative
                  efficiency). ✓✓
              • Market research assists producers in determining the preference of
                  consumers for the different goods and services.
              • The price mechanism, through surpluses and shortages, will allow
                  producers to determine the quantities that consumers prefer. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                       (2 x 2)        (4)

2.4   Distinguish between absolute scarcity and relative scarcity.

      Absolute scarcity                               Relative scarcity
      • Absolute means that there is nothing          • Relative is not absolute, but it is
         left of whatever you would be looking            minimal as interpreted in the
         for.                                           comparison to something
      • Absolute scarcity is the inability of             else. 
         nature to provide the necessary              • Relative scarcity occurs when
         resources to satisfy our daily                   goods and services are
         needs.                                         available, but you do not have
      • E.g., a drought may limit the supply of           the resources to acquire it. 
         agricultural produce.                       • E.g., you want to buy Levi's
                                                          jeans, but you do not have
                                                          enough money to purchase it. 
      (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                    (4 x 2)   (8)

2.5   How effective are government policies in protecting the environment?

      •   In South Africa, the natural environment is protected by the Constitution. The
          Department of Environment, Forestry and Fisheries (DEFF) is mandated to
          give effect to the right of citizens to an environment that is not harmful to their
          health or well-being, and to have the environment protected for the benefit of
          present and future generations. 
      •   Since apartheid ended, South Africa has developed a legal and regulatory
          environmental framework that in some areas is more advanced that in other
          countries. The Green Stimulus Recovery Programme which forms part of the
          post Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) recovery programme, aims to protect
          natural resources while contributing to equitable economic growth, providing
          employment to marginalised communities and growing economic sectors. 

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                     GRADE 10

      •  Consumers and producers are charged for waste they produce and dump in
         the environment. 
      • South Africa promotes recycling, reuse and reduce campaigns in all
         communities. For example, plastic shopping bags are discouraged. 
      • Green taxes are charged on the production of products that are not
         biodegradable, for example tyres. 
      • South Africa has advanced environmental policies but lacks the capacity or
         political will to implement them. ✓✓
      • Examples of government’s failure to implement its environmental policy can be
         seen by the high levels of air pollution and the polluted state of our dams and
         rivers. 
      (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                           (8)
                                                                                             [40]

QUESTION 3: ECONOMIC PURSUITS                                 40 MARKS – 30 MINUTES

3.1   Answer the following questions.

      3.1.1   Name any TWO of the G7 countries.

              USA , Japan , Germany , France , UK , Italy  and Canada 
                                                                           (2 x 1)            (2)

      3.1.2   What role did the development of towns and cities play in the early
              economic development?

              •   Commercial farming led to an increase in the production of wheat,
                  maize, and meat. 
              •   The development of towns created markets for manufactured
                  products such as clothing, agricultural products, furniture, machinery,
                  and services such as accommodation and transport. 
              •   The increased production activities led to the emergence of a new
                  class of entrepreneurs. 
              •   People in towns and cities had higher incomes, so they saved and
                  invested more. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                        (1 x 2)    (2)

3.2   DATA RESPONSE

      3.2.1   Name the measure for infant mortality.

              Deaths per 1000 live births/Infant mortality rate 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                   (1)

      3.2.2   What is the current figure for infant mortality in South Africa?

              24,3 per 1000 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                   (1)

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                     GRADE 10

      3.2.3   Briefly describe the term mortality rate.

              The mortality/death rate is a measure of the frequency of deaths in a
              defined population during a specified interval. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                  (2)

      3.2.4   According to the graph, what development has taken place over the
              last 70 years?

              The mortality rate decreased substantially. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                  (2)

      3.2.5   How can infant mortality be lowered in South Africa?

              •   Create better access to improved healthcare in rural areas. 
              •   Educate parents on the use of safe drinking water. 
              •   Escalate the drive against teenage pregnancy. 
              •   Improve distribution of vaccinations through clinics in non-urban
                  areas. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                       (2 x 2)    (4)

3.3   DATA RESPONSE

      3.3.1   Identify the institution depicted in the cartoon above.

              Eskom                                                                         (1)

      3.3.2   Name the character in the cartoon.

              Head of Eskom OR Andre van der Ruyte 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                  (1)

      3.3.3   Briefly describe the term loadshedding.

              The interruption of an electricity supply to avoid an excessive load on the
              generating plant. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                  (2)

      3.3.4   Why is South Africa experiencing loadshedding?

              • Poor planning with regards to future energy demands. 
              • Lack of proper maintenance of current power facilities. 
              • Lack of proper leadership by the management board. 
              • Corruption and mismanagement of funds. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                        (1 x 2)   (2)

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                                                       ECONOMICS
                                    MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                      GRADE 10

      3.3.5   How does loadshedding negatively impact producers?

               • Less goods and services will be produced. 
               • Influences the producers productive efficiency. 
               • Hampers the economic growth of the country. 
              (Accept any correct relevant response.)                             (2 x 2)         (4)

3.4   Differentiate between a positive and negative population growth rate.

      Positive population growth rate

      The number of births is greater than the number of deaths during a period of
      population growth. 
      Natural growth in the population occurs, this means that the population grows
      without an influx of immigrants. 
      Developing nations tend to have a positive population growth. ✓✓

      Negative population growth rate

      The number of deaths is greater than the number of births during negative
      population growth. 
      A negative population growth tends to occur in developed counties. 
      These populations tend to get smaller over time. 
      (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                             (2 x 4)     (8)

3.5   How did an increase in the demand for goods and services contribute to
      industrial development?

      •   An increase in the demand for goods resulted in the need for more cost-
          effective methods of production, which led to the rise of mechanisation and
          the factory system. 
      • The goods were manufactured on a large scale in the factories. 
      • The factory system was characterised by division of labour. 
      • Technological innovations led to ever-increasing productivity while requiring
          less human energy. 
      • A greater volume and variety of factory-produced goods were manufactured
          which raised the standard of living of many people. 
      (Any correct relevant answer.)                                              (4 x 2)      (8)
                                                                                              [40]

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                      GRADE 10

QUESTION 4: MACROECONOMICS AND ECONOMIC PURSUITS
                                           40 MARKS – 30 MINUTES

4.1   Answer the following questions.

      4.1.1   Name TWO participants in an open economy.

              •   Households 
              •   Business enterprises 
              •   Governments 
              •   Foreign sectors                                                 (2 x 1)   (2)

      4.1.2   Why is the population growth rate important for government
              planning?

              •   To be able to plan for sufficient infrastructure such as schools,
                  hospitals, housing and roads. 
              • To be able to plan for sufficient resources such as food, water and
                  electricity. 
              • To be able to plan for jobs for the near future.
              (Accept any other relevant answer.)                                   (1 x 2)   (2)

4.2   DATA RESPONSE

      4.2.1   Name the method that was used to calculate national production.

              Production method/Value added/GDP(P)                                           (1)

      4.2.2   What sector is the largest contributor to the GDP?

              Tertiary                                                                       (1)

      4.2.3   Briefly describe the term gross national income.

              The gross national income (GNI) is the total remuneration for the factors
              of production received by people of South African nationality during a
              specific period. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                   (2)

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                    GRADE 10

      4.2.4   Calculate gross value added (GVA) as represented by A.

              Economic Sector                              2021 (R Millions)
              Primary sector                                  631 848
              + Secondary sector                            1 037 270
              + Tertiary sector                             3 894 359 
              Total                                         5 563 477                     (2)

      4.2.5   What external factors contributed to the decline in gross value
              added (GVA) during 2020?

              •   A decrease in aggregate demand due to COVID-19 restrictions and
                  lockdowns. 
              • Many households had a decrease in income because they were
                  unable to work. 
              • Businesses reduced operating hours which led to reduced production
                  levels. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                   (2 x 2)      (4)

4.3   DATA RESPONSE

      4.3.1   Identify the process depicted in the illustration above.

              Migration or Urbanisation 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                (1)

      4.3.2   Why do most people prefer to live in cities?

              For employment opportunities,  education  or cultural reasons. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                (1)

      4.3.3   Briefly describe the term urbanisation.

              Urbanisation refers to the population shift from rural to urban areas. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                (2)

      4.3.4   Why is the growing rate of urbanisation a problem for local
              government?

              Congestion, pollution, crime, and disease are problems associated with
              urbanisation. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                (2)

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                                                         ECONOMICS
                                      MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                      GRADE 10

      4.3.5   What measures may be used to slow down the rate of urbanisation?

              •   Combat poverty by promoting economic development in rural
                  areas. 
              • Create private-public partnerships to provide employment in rural
                  areas. 
              (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                    (2 x 2)          (4)

4.4   Distinguish between economic growth and economic development.

      Economic growth

      •   It is the increase in the production of goods and services of a country within a
          given period. 
      • It is measured by comparing real GDP from one year to another. 
      • It is concerned with goods and services. 
      (Accept any other correct relevant response.)

      Economic development

      •   It is the improvement in the standard of living of the entire population. 
      •   It is concerned with people and human development. 
      •   It deals with issues such as education, literacy, healthcare, employment and
          environmental sustainability. 
      (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                  (4 x 2)    (8)

4.5   How do markets contribute to an improved functioning of the economy?

      •   A market is a platform where, buyers and sellers meet, prices are decided
          upon, and quantities bought or sold are determined. 
      • Factors of production are traded on the factor market. 
      • Goods and services are traded on the product market. 
      • Import and export of goods and services takes place in the foreign sector
          market. 
      • Markets facilitate trade; more trade means more production. 
      • More production means more employment and a higher national income. 
      • Markets are essential for the development of industries and the economic
          growth of a country. 
      • Without markets, consumers will not be able to access goods. 
      • Factors of production need to be made available to producers and that takes
          place in a market. 
      • The international market is important so that export of goods take place which
          will lead to the country earning foreign currency. 
      (Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                             (8)
                                                                                               [40]

                                                                     TOTAL SECTION B:           80

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                  GRADE 10

SECTION C

Answer ONE of the two questions from this section in the ANSWER BOOK.

Your answer will be assessed as follows:

                                                                                  MARK
                         STRUCTURE OF ESSAY
                                                                               ALLOCATION
Introduction

The introduction is a lower-order response.
•    A good starting point would be to define the main concept or keyword
     that appears in the question.                                               Max. 2
•    Do not include any part of the question in your introduction.
•    Do not repeat any part of the introduction in the body.
•    Avoid mentioning in the introduction what you are going to discuss in
     the body.
Body

Main part: Discuss in detail/In-depth discussion/Examine/Critically discuss/
                                                                                 Max. 26
Analyse/Compare/Evaluate/Distinguish/Differentiate/Explain/Draw a graph
and explain/Complete the given graph/Assess/Debate
A maximum of 5 marks may be allocated to headings/examples used.

Additional part: Give own opinion/Critically discuss/Evaluate/Critically
evaluate/Debate/Deduce/Compare/Explain/Distinguish/Interpret/Briefly
                                                                                 Max. 10
debate/How?/Suggest
A maximum of 2 marks may be allocated for the mere mention of facts.
Conclusion

Any higher-order conclusion should include:
•    A brief summary of what has been discussed without repeating facts
     already mentioned                                                           Max. 2
•    Any opinion or value judgement on the facts already discussed
•    Additional support information to strengthen the discussion/analysis
•    A contradictory viewpoint with motivation, if required
•    Recommendations
                                                                    TOTAL:         40

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                                                       ECONOMICS
                                    MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                    GRADE 10

QUESTION 5: MACROECONOMICS                                40 MARKS – 40 MINUTES

•    Discuss, in detail, the effects of business cycles on the following:

     o    Aggregate supply and aggregate demand
     o    Employment
     o    Exchange rates
     o    The economically vulnerable                                       (26 marks)

•    How do external factors influence economic fluctuations?               (10 marks)   [40]

INTRODUCTION

Business cycles are the "ups and downs" in economic activity, defined in terms of
periods of expansion or recession. 
(Accept any other correct relevant introduction.)                             (Max. 2)

BODY

MAIN PART

Aggregate supply and aggregate demand

•    Aggregate Demand (AD) is the total spending on goods and services by
     households, businesses, government and the foreign sector in the economy. 
•    During the recovery, aggregate demand increases and peaks with the business
     cycle. ✓✓
•    After the business cycle peaks aggregate demand will also start to decrease
     during the contraction phase and will reach its lowest level. ✓✓
•    Aggregate Supply (AS) is the total quantity of goods and services supplied at
     every price level. 
•    Aggregate supply only begins to increase in the recovery phase after inventories
     start to level off. ✓✓
•    Aggregate supply will start decreasing after the business cycle has peaked when
     inventory levels in the economy start to build up, due to lower demand. ✓✓

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                                                       ECONOMICS
                                    MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                      GRADE 10

Employment

•   A recession is a significant and broad decline in economic output, typically lasting
    more than a few months. 
•   At the onset of a recession, as companies cope with diminished demand,
    declining profits and elevated debt, many firms start to lay off workers to cut
    costs. 
•   Increased unemployment causes demand, and output also declines further. 
•   Unemployed workers find it harder to find new jobs, and the average period of
    unemployment increases. 
•   Rising unemployment is the key indicator that defines a recession. 
•   Joblessness tends to peak later and persists well into a recovery. 
•   That is because the end of the recession marks the trough of the economic
    contraction and the start of a rebound rather than its completion. 

Exchange rates

•   In the early stages of a downturn in the economy, there is declining demand for
    imported goods and services in foreign markets. 
•   A decline in exports due to lower foreign demand for local goods, leads to lower
    demand for the local currency. 
•   This causes a depreciation or a weakening of the country’s currency. 
•   When there is an upswing in foreign markets, there will be greater demand for
    imported goods. 
•   This will lead to more exports from domestic businesses and an increase in
    demand for the local currency. 
•   The increased demand leads to an appreciation or strengthening of the
    currency. 

The economically vulnerable

•   The effects of ups and downs on the economically vulnerable are immense. 
•   Any downturn will rob economically vulnerable people of their basic needs. 
•   A downturn in the economy will result in businesses downsizing their production
    and businesses may close.
•   This will lead to large-scale unemployment, starting with the less skilled
    labourers.
                                                                               (Max. 26)

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                     GRADE 10

ADDITIONAL PART

•    Exogenous factors are factors that originate from outside the economic system
     and act as trigger mechanisms for contractions and expansion, 
•    E.g.:Weather (natural disasters) conditions, floods, changes in weather conditions
     etc., affect agricultural production and this has a major influence on the
     economy. 
•    South Africa, as a developing country, depends on agriculture and any changes
     in weather conditions will have a detrimental impact on the GDP, e.g. the floods
     experienced in KwaZulu-Natal in April 2022. 
•    In addition, Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) negatively affected economic
     activity in South Africa. Many companies closed and this caused huge
     unemployment. 
•    Political shocks and technology shocks cause changes in productivity that cause
     business cycles. When a political party is elected, it initially adopts a
     contractionary policy to reduce inflation, followed by expansionary policy to
     impress voters with low inflation and low unemployment rates. 
•    Structural changes cause economic resources to become obsolete in one sector
     and moves to another sector. For example, when a country changes from a
     mainly primary-sector output to a mainly secondary-tertiary sector output. 
•    Money supply refers to government either increasing or decreasing the money
     supply which alters equilibrium in the markets. For example the South African
     Reserve Bank (SARB) increased money supply during the Coronavirus Disease
     (COVID-19) pandemic to stabilise the economy 
(Accept any other correct relevant answer.)                                     (Max. 10)

Conclusion

Fluctuations in economic activities should be managed so that they impact the
economy positively. 
(Accept any other correct relevant conclusion.)                               (Max. 2)      [40]

                                               16

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                    GRADE 10

QUESTION 6: ECONOMIC PURSUITS                               40 MARKS – 40 MINUTES

•    Discuss, in detail, the South African population size.                 (26 marks)

•    What impact does the spread of COVID-19 have on the labour force of a
     country?                                                       (10 marks)

INTRODUCTION

Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) estimates the population at 60,14 million people. 
(Any other relevant introduction.)                                              (Max. 2)

BODY

MAIN PART

Population growth 

•    Population growth is influenced by birth, mortality rates and migration. 
•    Population growth can be expressed as natural growth and overall growth. 
•    Natural growth is the difference between the birth rate and death rate of a
     population. It represents the births and deaths in a country's population.
•    The overall growth rate takes migration into account. 
•    This is the annual change in a population due to natural growth (or decline) and the
     balance of migrants entering and leaving the country.
•    Fertility is usually higher in rural areas, where women have a lower status and
     where children are needed to work. 
•    High birth rates are associated with poverty and limited access to education. 
•    By improving living conditions of people through better education, healthcare and
     income, the birth rate can be lowered. 
•    Effective family planning and birth control programmes can also reduce birth
     rates. 
•    The current population growth is too high and puts pressure on the provision of
     social services and infrastructure. 
•    South Africa’s 2010 mid-year population estimate was 49,99 million people, which
     was an increase on the previous year’s updated estimate of 49,46 million. 
•    For 2021, Statistics South Africa (Stats SA) estimated the mid-year population at
     60,14 million people. 
•    An increase in population growth brings a need for more food, infrastructure and
     services. 

Natural growth rate 

•    The national growth rate of a country can be positive or negative. 
•    It is usually expressed as being between about 0,1% and 3% per year. 
•    Natural growth rate represents the births and deaths in a country's population and
     does not take migration into account. 

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                     GRADE 10

•    The average growth rate takes migration into account. 
•    The population of South Africa increased from 22 million in 1970 to almost 50
     million in 2010. This includes immigration. 
•    This rapid growth rate of 2,3% is one of the highest growth rates in the world. 
•    In the period 1960 to 1970, the average growth rate was even higher (2,8%). 
•    Since then, it has started to decline. It was estimated at 1,36% in 2010. 

The demographic cycle 

• By conducting a scientific analysis of the history of population growth, a cycle has
  been identified that shows changes in the natural population growth of a country over
  a period of time. 
• A population pyramid, which is also an age structure diagram, is a graphic illustration
  showing the distribution of various age groups in a population, which is usually a
  pyramid shape. 
• Men are usually shown on the left, and women on the right. 
• First phase (slow growing phase): 
     o High birth rates and high mortality rates. 
     o As both figures are high, the population is growing slowly. 
•    Second phase (premodern phase): 
     o A sharp decline in mortality rates due to improved health services, water and
         sanitary infrastructure while the birth rate remains high. 
     o This results in an increase in population growth. 
•    Third phase (modern phase, stagnant): 
      o A sharp increase in the standard of living affects family life. 
      o Birth control leads to a decrease in the birth rate. ✓
      o The decline in mortality rate continues. 
      o The natural growth rate decreases. 
•    Fourth stage (shrinking): 
      o The birth rate falls below the replacement level, the death rate remains
         low – associated with high life expectancy, small families and an aging
         population. 

Projected growth rates 

•    Projections are made to measure the size of the population at certain times in the
     future. 
•    This enables government to plan what resources residents will need in terms of
     infrastructure, education and health projects. 
•    The unknown factors make such projections risky. 
•    In South Africa, unknown factors that may affect projections are the prevalence of
     HIV/Aids and migration. 
•    Population projections are based on assumptions and scenarios. 
•    Projections are often made to determine the effect of the projected population on
     the composition of the labour force and on the size of the future school-going
     population. 

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                                                      ECONOMICS
                                   MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                     GRADE 10

•   This is done to assist planning in meeting the needs of housing, education (school
    buildings, teacher training) and health services, or to address the issue of dealing
    with AIDS orphans as a result of the HIV/Aids pandemic. 
•   Current population projections for South Africa indicate a decrease due to
    HIV/Aids. 
•   The loss of economically active family members leads to a loss of income and
    social problems. 
•   The declining rate of the national population growth in the 21st century will
    continue. 
•   The main contributors to this trend are the decline in birth rates and increasing
    deaths due to the spread of HIV/Aids. 
•   Empowerment of women has lowered the accrual rate. 
•   The lower birth rates are partly due to social and economic trends like economic
    growth in South Africa, urbanisation, empowerment of women in education and
    family planning, and access to jobs. 
•   Mortality rates also declined until the mid-1990s due to of improvements in diet and
    health awareness and better access to health care and clean water. 
•   Like many other developing countries, South Africa is moving through a
    demographic transition with a declining mortality rate and declining birth rate and
    consequently a declining natural population growth. 
•   Two decades ago it was generally believed that the population would grow slowly
    until the new millennium, but at a declining rate.
•   These projections had to be reconsidered due to HIV/Aids. 

Migration 

•   Urbanisation is the process by which the number of people living in cities increases
    relative to those in rural areas. 
•   Urbanisation is part of the economic development of a country. 
•   It occurs when people are moving from rural areas to urban areas in search of
    better employment opportunities. 
•   Urbanisation has been widespread since 1994. 
•   Large-scale migration has put pressure on municipalities to provide services at an
    increasing rate. 
•   Large informal settlements developed on the outskirts of South African cities and
    towns. 
•   Circular migration represents a large proportion of the movement among the black
    population.                                                             (Max. 26)

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                                                        ECONOMICS
                                     MARKING GUIDELINES (PAPER 1)                    GRADE 10

ADDITIONAL PART

The impact of COVID-19 on the labour force of the country:

•    Workplaces closed, millions of workers lost part or all of their income. 
•    Even among those who were still working, many had to accept shorter working
     hours and wage cuts in different industries  such as airline, retail and
     accommodation, food services, textiles and government sectors. 
•    Various countries also implemented wage cuts in the public sector. 
•    It also resulted in great job losses in the economy. 
•    Low-paid and often low-skilled workers were particularly affected during the initial
     phase of the crisis. 
•    Many of the so-called frontline workers who put their health at risk, exposed
     themselves to the virus to ensure the continuation of essential services during
     lockdown.
•    Work in many sectors was characterised by low wages. 
•    This includes healthcare workers, cashiers, production and food processing
     workers, agricultural workers, delivery workers and truck drivers. 
•    The impact of the crisis has been severe for the informal economy workers for
     whom staying at home meant losing their jobs and their livelihoods. 
•    The impact of the pandemic led to a severe contraction in economic activity as
     many people were unable to go to work and businesses could no longer
     operate. 
(Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                   (Max. 10)

CONCLUSION

The COVID-19 pandemic has changed the very core of how we interact in society and
what we once knew as normal. As new data becomes available over time, we will have
a better sense of the full impact of the pandemic on the labour force and the South
African population.
(Accept any other correct relevant response.)                                  (Max. 2)     [40]

                                                                   TOTAL SECTION C:          40

                                                                                TOTAL:      150

                                               20

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